By Cesar Castello Branco Martins |
Brian Clark, defense specialist at the Hudson Institute, has criticized the approach given to use of scenarios in the United States Department of Defense (DoD). For the specialist, although scenarios are fundamental resources to the planning of force at the Pentagon, its importance varies according to the administration and future threats. Furthermore, its use privileges its main existing programs, even when their opponents advance to a different kind of war. Chinese and Russian military seek to make use of information and decision-making their main battlefields for future conflicts. For this reason, the DoD should increase the priority of scenarios that focus on these characteristics.
Impacts on Defense and Security: The use of scenarios is a powerful tool for the strategic planning of institutions, because it allows them to explore possible futures to guide present decision-making. A set of decision-driven scenarios could guide the organization of the US military services in the direction of the threats posed by their opponents.
Source: CLARK, Brian. The Pentagon Needs To Rethink Its Worst-Case Scenarios Against China And Russia. Hudson Institute. 1/27/2021. Available at: https://www.hudson.org/research/16648-the-pentagon-needs-to-rethink-its-worst-case-scenarios-against-china-and-russia.